{"id":11658,"date":"2024-07-18T18:04:45","date_gmt":"2024-07-18T18:04:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/?p=11658"},"modified":"2024-08-12T22:44:23","modified_gmt":"2024-08-12T22:44:23","slug":"scenario-modeling-million-acres-strategy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/scenario-modeling-million-acres-strategy\/","title":{"rendered":"Scenario Modeling for the Million Acres Strategy"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"11658\" class=\"elementor elementor-11658\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c9198dd e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"c9198dd\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;,&quot;shape_divider_bottom&quot;:&quot;arrow&quot;,&quot;shape_divider_bottom_negative&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-shape elementor-shape-bottom\" aria-hidden=\"true\" data-negative=\"true\">\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 700 10\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\">\n\t<path class=\"elementor-shape-fill\" d=\"M360 0L350 9.9 340 0 0 0 0 10 700 10 700 0\"\/>\n<\/svg>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b38c55f elementor-view-framed elementor-shape-circle elementor-position-block-start elementor-mobile-position-block-start elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-box\" data-id=\"b38c55f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-wrapper\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<span  class=\"elementor-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"icon icon-group-leaf\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-content\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-icon-box-title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span  >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tForest &amp; Agriculture Management\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"elementor-icon-box-description\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tCase Study\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fef0cfb e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"fef0cfb\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f904434 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"f904434\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c8a5741 e-con-full animated-slow e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"c8a5741\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;sticky_on&quot;:[&quot;desktop&quot;],&quot;sticky_effects_offset&quot;:7,&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;none&quot;,&quot;sticky_offset&quot;:14,&quot;sticky&quot;:&quot;top&quot;,&quot;sticky_parent&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;sticky_anchor_link_offset&quot;:0}\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b08beb3 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"b08beb3\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-324b909 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"324b909\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Scenario Modeling for the Million Acres Strategy<\/h1>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-23f4f09 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"23f4f09\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">SIG\u2019s Wildfire Modeling Expertise at the Core of an Ambitious Multiagency Project\n<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-36071c9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"36071c9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/group-fam\/\" target=\"_blank\">SCIENCE GROUP: Forest And Agriculture Management<\/a><\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-796e57f e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"796e57f\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-778fb4c e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"778fb4c\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5ffed18 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"5ffed18\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Modeling fuel treatments to reduce wildfire risk in different parts of California<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3d2c3ce elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3d2c3ce\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Wildfires in California are a serious and growing threat. Thanks to nearly a century of wildfire suppression combined with increased aridity and heat due to climate change, California fires are now the most destructive in the United States. Since 2017 California has seen new records in most destructive, largest, most costly, longest burning, and most intense wildfires.<\/p><p>An effective way to reduce wildfire incidence and severity is through treatments that reduce a forest\u2019s fuel load and simplify its vertical structure. So massively increasing these kinds of treatments throughout California is an important priority.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-38f23db e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"38f23db\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-61b100b e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"61b100b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t<div data-pa-eq-height=\"{&quot;targetType&quot;:&quot;widget&quot;,&quot;target&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;trigger&quot;:&quot;load&quot;,&quot;enableOn&quot;:[&quot;desktop&quot;,&quot;tablet&quot;,&quot;mobile&quot;]}\" class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6194402 e-con-full premium-equal-height-yes e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"6194402\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;,&quot;premium_eq_height_switcher&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f081adc e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"f081adc\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a12a726 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"a12a726\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Fuel Treatments on a Million Acres<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0a9c1ab elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"0a9c1ab\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tSpatial Informatics Group and our partner the Climate and Wildfire Institute were selected by the California Wildfire and Landscape Resilience Taskforce to model the likely impacts of aggressive fuel treatments across the landscape. With support from CalEPA and CAL FIRE, the Roadmap to a Million Acres is intended to lead to treatments of at least a million acres in California every year, starting in 2025. \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ae9b616 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"ae9b616\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9f4ecda elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"9f4ecda\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"334\" src=\"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-million-1024x428.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-11742\" alt=\"Fuel Treatments on a Million Acres\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-million-1024x428.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-million-300x125.jpg 300w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-million-768x321.jpg 768w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-million.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">Regional landscape scale strategies map<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-899b996 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"899b996\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-21d8ec7 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"21d8ec7\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1553801 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"1553801\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-landscape-fire-1024x768.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-11761\" alt=\"Slicing and Dicing\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-landscape-fire-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-landscape-fire-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-landscape-fire-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-landscape-fire.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">Santa Cruz, California Wildfire 2020<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2ca8f55 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"2ca8f55\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-26ed710 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"26ed710\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Slicing and Dicing<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3dfd2e6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3dfd2e6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>SIG\u2019s scenario modeling includes 108 distinct treatments distributed across four focal regions: Sierra Nevada, Southern California, Central Coast, and North Coast. Modeled scenarios are appropriate to the forest types and conditions in the different regions. We tested three levels of treatment intensity, and looked at varying treatment objectives over timescales up to twenty years in the future.<\/p><p>We structured the relevant information as a datacube to enable these numerous avenues for exploring the information. The project also involved innovative implementations of existing tools like the USDA Forest Service\u2019s Forest Vegetation Simulator, which SIG\u2019s programmers turned into a microservice allowing it to be used on much larger scales than previously possible, and SIG\u2019s own Forest Carbon Analysis Tool.<\/p><p>The results were used to compare the costs and benefits of different scenarios across the environmental, economic, and workforce dimensions, enabling land managers and planners to identify the best solutions for their particular contexts.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div data-pa-eq-height=\"{&quot;targetType&quot;:&quot;widget&quot;,&quot;target&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;trigger&quot;:&quot;load&quot;,&quot;enableOn&quot;:[&quot;desktop&quot;,&quot;tablet&quot;,&quot;mobile&quot;]}\" class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-992dd15 e-con-full premium-equal-height-yes e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"992dd15\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;,&quot;premium_eq_height_switcher&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f1f2cd5 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"f1f2cd5\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-36493ab elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"36493ab\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">We\u2019re Just Getting Started<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7acb237 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7acb237\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Once treatments are underway, the automated workflow for statewide treatment scenario selection we developed will provide summaries of objectives met, impacts of varying treatment scenarios, and potential workforce and funding needs to meet ecosystem resilience goals for the state of California.<\/p><p>The modeling framework can be used in future years to evaluate the impacts of treatments as they are implemented, to update planning goals, and to guide evolving treatment priorities to enhance science-based forest and rangeland stewardship throughout the state.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b8c9fae elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"b8c9fae\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/wildfiretaskforce.org\/roadmap-to-a-milllion-acres\/\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Learn More<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6bfb984 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"6bfb984\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d0f9fd8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"d0f9fd8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"452\" src=\"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-strategy-1024x579.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-11747\" alt=\"Million Acre Strategy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-strategy-1024x579.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-strategy-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-strategy-768x434.jpg 768w, https:\/\/sig-gis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/CA-strategy.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">Data &amp; Decision Support Aligned With Million Acre Strategy<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wildfires in California are a serious and growing threat. SIG and the Climate and Wildfire Institute were chosen by the CA Wildfire and Landscape Resilience Taskforce to work in the Million Acres Strategy<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11809,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,117,14,10,11,12],"tags":[67,121,123,120,124,119,122,70,69],"class_list":["post-11658","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-case-studies","category-group-fam","category-map-projects","category-portfolio","category-projects","category-science-groups","tag-california","tag-forest-agriculture-management","tag-forest-fuel-treatment","tag-million-acres-strategy","tag-reduce-wildfires","tag-scenario-modeling","tag-strategy","tag-wildfire","tag-wildfire-modeling"],"acf":{"Introduction":"Wildfires in California are a serious and growing threat. SIG and the Climate and Wildfire Institute were chosen by the CA Wildfire and Landscape Resilience Taskforce to work in the Million Acres Strategy","logo_-_icon":"","second_logo_icon":"","lat":32.7157,"long":-117.1611,"label":"Scenario Modeling for the Million Acres Strategy","Preview_Image":11683},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scenario Modeling for the Million Acres Strategy - SIG - Spatial Informatics Group<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Wildfires in California are a serious threat. 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